European Airport Traffic Forecast Scenarios: April 2025 update

+3.9% Full Year 2025 passenger traffic (vs. 2019)

  • Growth is projected to slow, based on current factors, +3.9% in 2025 and +7.9% in 2026 (vs. 2019).

  • The post-pandemic rebound is fading, with growth dropping from below 10% in 2024 vs. 2023 to around 8% in 2025 before dipping further.

  • While business and other travel segments recover, higher costs, taxes, and capacity constraints will start limiting growth.

Traffic still below pre-COVID projections

  • Despite reaching 2019 levels in 2024, traffic remains well below original pre-pandemic forecasts.

  • Airports continue facing financial strain as long-term investments were based on higher expected volumes. 

Forecast1

 

For more information, download the fleshed out forecasting available below: